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8454.TW$265.50+9.94%
Fair $265.50+0.0%

8454.TW

momo.com Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTaiwan

$265.50

+24.00 (+9.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $265.50Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.3B · quality 71.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 8454.TWLocal privado en este navegador · momo.com Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$70.4B

P/E

23.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.6x

↑

ROE

30.8%

↑

Gross Margin

9.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$266
$168$296

TradingView lightweight chart

8454.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $265.50Periodo +157.6%
Fair value: $265.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.7%

FCF CAGR

-26.1%

FCF margin

1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $108.67B · net income $2.99B · FCF $1.07B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.1%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

3.1%-1.1% pts

Net margin

2.8%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

1.0%-1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$108.67B$108.67B$112.56B$109.24B$103.44B
Net Income$2.99B$2.99B$3.45B$3.63B$3.43B
EBITDA$4.82B$4.82B$5.68B$5.67B$5.43B
EPS11.2911.2913.0313.7012.96
Gross Margin9.1%9.1%9.3%9.7%9.9%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%3.8%4.0%4.1%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%3.1%3.3%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.330.360.17
Current Ratio0.750.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.07B$1.07B$4.31B$2.34B$2.64B
Returns
ROE30.8%30.8%34.5%35.9%35.0%
Valuation
P/E23.5423.5424.6333.0845.23
EV/EBITDA14.6314.6314.6620.7127.41
P/B7.257.258.5011.8915.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.5%-3.5%3.0%5.6%—
EPS Growth-13.4%-13.4%-4.9%5.7%—
Dividend Yield4.1%4.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$23.56

Spread vs growth

-41.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$28.51

Spread vs growth

-33.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$45.91

Spread vs growth

-28.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.5%

Total return

-4.5%

Start / end P/E

22.3x → 23.5x

EPS bridge

13.03 → 11.29

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growth-13.4%
Multiple rerating+5.5%
Dividend+4.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.