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8478.TW$155.50+1.63%
Fair $155.50+0.0%

8478.TW

Alexander Marine Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Recreational VehiclesTaiwan

$155.50

+2.50 (+1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $155.50Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-53.8M · quality 35.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 8478.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Alexander Marine Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.6B

P/E

12.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.2x

↑

ROE

13.7%

↑

Gross Margin

39.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.71

↑
52-Week Range$156
$145$240

TradingView lightweight chart

8478.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $155.50Periodo +9.4%
Fair value: $155.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.23B · net income $1.24B · FCF $-53.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.0%-6.4% pts

Operating margin

22.4%-11.1% pts

Net margin

23.8%-7.8% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%-38.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.23B$5.23B$4.94B$6.33B$5.56B
Net Income$1.24B$1.24B$938.1M$2.08B$1.75B
EBITDA$1.62B$1.62B$1.29B$2.49B$2.06B
EPS——10.3223.6419.75
Gross Margin39.0%39.0%39.2%48.2%45.4%
Operating Margin22.4%22.4%19.3%34.7%33.5%
Net Margin23.8%23.8%19.0%32.9%31.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.710.710.610.670.62
Current Ratio3.873.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-53.8M$-53.8M$-341.4M$280.0M$2.09B
Returns
ROE13.7%13.7%10.9%35.6%37.5%
Valuation
P/E11.9911.9919.5315.8415.57
EV/EBITDA11.2311.2316.5714.4313.52
P/B1.611.612.175.635.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.8%5.8%-21.8%13.9%—
EPS Growth——-56.3%19.7%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.2%

Total return

+1.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

10.32 → n/d

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.