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8836.T$24.00+0.00%
Fair $24.00+0.0%

8836.T

RISE Inc.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$24.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $24.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8836.TLocal privado en este navegador · RISE Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

14.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

18.1x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

83.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$24
$22$58

TradingView lightweight chart

8836.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $24.00Periodo -98.9%
Fair value: $24.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.6%

FCF / Net income

6.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $383.0M · net income $9.0M · FCF $56.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

83.8%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

9.1%+11.1% pts

Net margin

2.3%+17.0% pts

FCF margin

14.6%+22.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$383.0M$383.0M$348.0M$339.0M$362.0M
Net Income$9.0M$9.0M$-11.0M$24.0M$-53.0M
EBITDA$104.0M$104.0M$72.0M$127.0M$26.0M
EPS1.641.64-1.661.25-2.06
Gross Margin83.8%83.8%83.6%83.2%82.0%
Operating Margin9.1%9.1%4.3%0.9%-1.9%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%-3.2%7.1%-14.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.040.050.07
Current Ratio5.955.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$56.0M$56.0M$-20.0M$11.0M$-30.0M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%-0.5%1.2%-2.6%
Valuation
P/E14.6314.63—16.80—
EV/EBITDA18.1218.1212.749.8057.70
P/B1.401.400.840.981.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.1%10.1%2.7%-6.4%—
EPS Growth198.8%198.8%-232.8%160.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.13

Spread vs growth

189.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.58

Spread vs growth

189.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.15

Spread vs growth

189.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -38.5%

Total return

-38.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.66 → 1.64

Residual

-38.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-38.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.