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8864.T$870.00-2.47%
Fair $870.00+0.0%

8864.T

Airport Facilities Co., Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$870.00

-22.00 (-2.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $870.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 13.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8864.TLocal privado en este navegador · Airport Facilities Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$43.0B

P/E

12.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

4.3%

↓

Gross Margin

21.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.45

↓
52-Week Range$870
$735$1160

TradingView lightweight chart

8864.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $870.00Periodo +120.3%
Fair value: $870.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.4%

FCF CAGR

-14.8%

FCF margin

16.8%

FCF / Net income

2.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.12B · net income $2.58B · FCF $5.24B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.8%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

14.4%+0.6% pts

Net margin

8.3%+4.8% pts

FCF margin

16.8%-18.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.12B$31.12B$25.95B$25.52B$23.78B
Net Income$2.58B$2.58B$2.02B$1.56B$821.4M
EBITDA$8.56B$8.56B$8.27B$7.29B$6.14B
EPS——40.2331.2116.39
Gross Margin21.8%21.8%20.3%18.1%22.6%
Operating Margin14.4%14.4%12.3%9.8%13.8%
Net Margin8.3%8.3%7.8%6.1%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.550.500.58
Current Ratio3.903.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.24B$5.24B$784.6M$2.02B$8.47B
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%3.5%2.9%1.6%
Valuation
P/E12.5012.5015.0417.4632.21
EV/EBITDA7.447.446.256.317.75
P/B0.730.730.520.500.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.9%19.9%1.7%7.3%—
EPS Growth——28.9%90.4%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.4%

Total return

+20.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

40.23 → n/d

Residual

+15.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+15.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.