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8869.T$781.00-2.50%
Fair $781.00+0.0%

8869.T

Meiwa Estate Company Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$781.00

-20.00 (-2.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $781.00Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 2/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.55, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8869.TLocal privado en este navegador · Meiwa Estate Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$18.3B

P/E

4.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

15.3x

↑

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

20.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.55

↑
52-Week Range$781
$780$1316

TradingView lightweight chart

8869.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $781.00Periodo -62.5%
Fair value: $781.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-42.5%

FCF / Net income

-11.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $79.90B · net income $2.90B · FCF $-33.96B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.7%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

6.6%-0.7% pts

Net margin

3.6%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

-42.5%-30.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$79.90B$79.90B$71.25B$62.32B$57.21B
Net Income$2.90B$2.90B$2.78B$4.42B$2.60B
EBITDA$5.41B$5.41B$5.13B$5.95B$3.95B
EPS123.57123.57118.62188.32110.04
Gross Margin20.7%20.7%21.8%25.1%22.6%
Operating Margin6.6%6.6%7.0%9.5%7.3%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%3.9%7.1%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.552.551.851.931.83
Current Ratio2.562.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-33.96B$-33.96B$-2.44B$215.0M$-7.01B
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%8.7%14.7%9.8%
Valuation
P/E4.784.788.564.225.47
EV/EBITDA15.2715.279.347.118.91
P/B0.540.540.740.620.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.1%12.1%14.3%8.9%—
EPS Growth4.2%4.2%-37.0%71.1%—
Dividend Yield10.2%10.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-17.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$69.30

Spread vs growth

21.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$83.85

Spread vs growth

11.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$135.05

Spread vs growth

3.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.6%

Total return

-6.6%

Start / end P/E

7.9x → 6.3x

EPS bridge

118.62 → 123.57

Residual

-0.8%

EPS growth+4.2%
Multiple rerating-20.2%
Dividend+10.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.