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8887.T$341.00-0.58%
Fair $341.00+0.0%

8887.T

SYLA Holdings Co., Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentTokyo

$341.00

-2.00 (-0.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $341.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 17.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -5.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8887.TLocal privado en este navegador · SYLA Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.8B

P/E

4.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-5.9%

↓

Gross Margin

17.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.41

↓
52-Week Range$341
$308$504

TradingView lightweight chart

8887.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $341.00Periodo -14.8%
Fair value: $341.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.7%

FCF CAGR

-24.6%

FCF margin

9.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.42B · net income $-657.9M · FCF $518.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.1%-14.1% pts

Operating margin

3.7%-14.7% pts

Net margin

-12.1%-25.9% pts

FCF margin

9.6%-10.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.42B$5.42B$4.77B$7.44B$6.06B
Net Income$-657.9M$-657.9M$212.8M$765.3M$835.0M
EBITDA$-512.4M$-512.4M$349.8M$997.8M$1.21B
EPS-56.20-56.2020.1072.2778.85
Gross Margin17.1%17.1%20.2%25.1%31.1%
Operating Margin3.7%3.7%6.2%14.6%18.4%
Net Margin-12.1%-12.1%4.5%10.3%13.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.290.380.56
Current Ratio2.382.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$518.4M$518.4M$874.4M$2.22B$1.21B
Returns
ROE-5.9%-5.9%1.9%6.7%7.5%
Valuation
P/E4.014.0131.349.809.74
EV/EBITDA——11.633.825.20
P/B0.360.360.590.650.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.7%13.7%-36.0%22.7%—
EPS Growth-379.6%-379.6%-72.2%-8.3%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.7%

Total return

+8.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

20.10 → -56.20

Residual

+5.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.