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8891.T$1694.00-3.43%
Fair $1694.00+0.0%

8891.T

AMG Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$1694.00

-61.00 (-3.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1694.00Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9
Margin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 8891.TLocal privado en este navegador · AMG Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

4.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.5x

↓

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

14.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.22

↑
52-Week Range$1694
$1648$2849

TradingView lightweight chart

8891.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,719Periodo -24.4%
Fair value: $1,694

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.0%

FCF CAGR

+396.3%

FCF margin

13.7%

FCF / Net income

4.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $30.42B · net income $975.2M · FCF $4.18B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.8%-4.4% pts

Operating margin

5.1%-3.6% pts

Net margin

3.2%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

13.7%+13.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$30.42B$30.42B$29.09B$22.81B$16.36B
Net Income$975.2M$975.2M$1.09B$2.95B$882.0M
EBITDA$1.77B$1.77B$1.98B$3.41B$1.51B
EPS344.28344.28378.481024.73306.91
Gross Margin14.8%14.8%16.0%16.9%19.2%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%6.2%6.3%8.7%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%3.7%12.9%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.221.221.671.550.97
Current Ratio1.801.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.18B$4.18B$-3.09B$-3.98B$34.2M
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%10.6%31.3%13.5%
Valuation
P/E4.094.096.161.662.97
EV/EBITDA8.518.5110.534.593.78
P/B0.440.440.650.520.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.6%4.6%27.6%39.4%—
EPS Growth-9.0%-9.0%-63.1%233.9%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-24.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$150.31

Spread vs growth

15.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$181.88

Spread vs growth

2.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$292.92

Spread vs growth

-7.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.9%

Total return

-11.9%

Start / end P/E

5.4x → 5.0x

EPS bridge

378.48 → 344.28

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth-9.0%
Multiple rerating-8.3%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.