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8917.T$1012.00-0.20%
Fair $1012.00+0.0%

8917.T

First Juken Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionTokyo

$1012.00

-2.00 (-0.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1012.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8917.TLocal privado en este navegador · First Juken Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.1B

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.1x

↓

ROE

3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

16.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.35

↓
52-Week Range$1012
$984$1266

TradingView lightweight chart

8917.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,012Periodo +98.4%
Fair value: $1,012

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.1%

FCF / Net income

1.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $42.88B · net income $1.44B · FCF $1.74B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.4%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

5.8%-2.2% pts

Net margin

3.3%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

4.1%+19.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$42.88B$42.88B$35.99B$43.37B$39.97B
Net Income$1.44B$1.44B$2.50B$1.75B$2.05B
EBITDA$2.85B$2.85B$3.59B$3.00B$3.49B
EPS102.62102.62178.64125.44146.98
Gross Margin16.4%16.4%14.7%14.8%17.3%
Operating Margin5.8%5.8%5.1%6.3%8.1%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%6.9%4.0%5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.330.200.23
Current Ratio2.792.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.74B$1.74B$4.50B$1.20B$-6.13B
Returns
ROE3.5%3.5%6.3%4.6%5.6%
Valuation
P/E9.869.865.668.676.88
EV/EBITDA2.142.141.891.260.94
P/B0.350.350.350.400.38
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.2%19.2%-17.0%8.5%—
EPS Growth-42.6%-42.6%42.4%-14.7%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$89.80

Spread vs growth

-38.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$108.66

Spread vs growth

-43.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$174.99

Spread vs growth

-48.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.4%

Total return

+6.4%

Start / end P/E

5.5x → 9.9x

EPS bridge

178.64 → 102.62

Residual

-33.1%

EPS growth-42.6%
Multiple rerating+77.8%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.