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8933.TWO$4.60-6.12%
Fair $4.60+0.0%

8933.TWO

Ideal Bike Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureTaipei Exchange

$4.60

-0.30 (-6.12%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.60Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $188.8M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -26.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8933.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Ideal Bike Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-26.8%

↓

Gross Margin

-3.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$9

TradingView lightweight chart

8933.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.600Periodo -74.1%
Fair value: $4.600

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-26.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.4%

FCF / Net income

0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.19B · net income $-452.7M · FCF $-75.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-3.0%-17.8% pts

Operating margin

-18.1%-24.5% pts

Net margin

-20.6%-26.6% pts

FCF margin

-3.4%+13.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.19B$2.19B$2.65B$3.65B$5.59B
Net Income$-452.7M$-452.7M$-232.9M$-291.2M$334.4M
EBITDA$-309.9M$-309.9M$-101.0M$-111.1M$562.2M
EPS——-0.74-0.971.10
Gross Margin-3.0%-3.0%4.6%7.7%14.8%
Operating Margin-18.1%-18.1%-7.6%-1.8%6.4%
Net Margin-20.6%-20.6%-8.8%-8.0%6.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.010.681.021.00
Current Ratio1.511.51———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-75.0M$-75.0M$290.7M$188.8M$-961.6M
Returns
ROE-26.8%-26.8%-10.6%-13.6%13.9%
Valuation
P/E————14.65
EV/EBITDA————11.75
P/B0.890.891.181.402.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.2%-17.2%-27.5%-34.6%—
EPS Growth——23.7%-188.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.4%

Total return

-33.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.74 → n/d

Residual

-33.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.