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8996.T$975.00-1.81%
Fair $975.00+0.0%

8996.T

HouseFreedom Co.,Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$975.00

-18.00 (-1.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $975.00Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.05, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 8996.TLocal privado en este navegador · HouseFreedom Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

5.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

↓

ROE

17.1%

↑

Gross Margin

29.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

3.05

↑
52-Week Range$975
$800$1130

TradingView lightweight chart

8996.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $975.00Periodo +31.8%
Fair value: $975.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.0%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.93B · net income $658.8M · FCF $503.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.8%+0.3% pts

Operating margin

6.6%+1.5% pts

Net margin

3.9%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

3.0%+10.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.93B$16.93B$14.49B$11.79B$12.97B
Net Income$658.8M$658.8M$484.6M$343.4M$420.2M
EBITDA$1.28B$1.28B$1.02B$811.5M$866.8M
EPS171.87171.87122.4085.15104.19
Gross Margin29.8%29.8%30.1%33.0%29.4%
Operating Margin6.6%6.6%6.1%5.8%5.1%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%3.3%2.9%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.053.053.343.793.60
Current Ratio1.931.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$503.4M$503.4M$1.54B$-1.05B$-1.01B
Returns
ROE17.1%17.1%14.4%10.7%13.8%
Valuation
P/E5.675.676.359.756.39
EV/EBITDA8.398.3910.1914.5911.50
P/B0.970.970.911.040.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.8%16.8%22.9%-9.1%—
EPS Growth40.4%40.4%43.7%-18.3%—
Dividend Yield5.5%5.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$86.52

Spread vs growth

60.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$104.68

Spread vs growth

49.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$168.59

Spread vs growth

40.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +26.7%

Total return

+26.7%

Start / end P/E

6.6x → 5.7x

EPS bridge

122.40 → 171.87

Residual

-5.6%

EPS growth+40.4%
Multiple rerating-13.7%
Dividend+5.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.