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9051.T$1290.00-1.75%
Fair $1290.00+0.0%

9051.T

Senkon Logistics Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsTokyo

$1290.00

-23.00 (-1.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1290.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $407.3M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9051.TLocal privado en este navegador · Senkon Logistics Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

38.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

19.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.45

↑
52-Week Range$1290
$1042$1739

TradingView lightweight chart

9051.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,290Periodo +81.7%
Fair value: $1,290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.0%

FCF CAGR

+6.2%

FCF margin

4.9%

FCF / Net income

1.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.82B · net income $506.4M · FCF $928.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.0%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

4.3%-0.6% pts

Net margin

2.7%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

4.9%+0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.82B$18.82B$17.54B$16.25B$16.73B
Net Income$506.4M$506.4M$383.9M$522.1M$489.6M
EBITDA$1.57B$1.57B$1.28B$1.52B$1.49B
EPS101.65101.6576.70102.9994.91
Gross Margin19.0%19.0%17.6%18.5%17.6%
Operating Margin4.3%4.3%3.2%4.5%4.9%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%2.2%3.2%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.451.451.571.631.83
Current Ratio0.860.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$928.4M$928.4M$-46.4M$407.3M$774.8M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%7.0%10.1%10.2%
Valuation
P/E38.3138.3111.217.538.48
EV/EBITDA7.697.698.446.436.83
P/B1.091.090.780.760.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.3%7.3%8.0%-2.9%—
EPS Growth32.5%32.5%-25.5%8.5%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$114.47

Spread vs growth

28.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$138.50

Spread vs growth

26.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$223.06

Spread vs growth

24.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.7%

Total return

+22.7%

Start / end P/E

13.8x → 12.7x

EPS bridge

76.70 → 101.65

Residual

-2.7%

EPS growth+32.5%
Multiple rerating-8.3%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.