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9063.T$3870.00-0.64%
Fair $3870.00+0.0%

9063.T

Okayamaken Freight Transportation Co., Ltd.

Industrials / TruckingTokyo

$3870.00

-25.00 (-0.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3870.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-854.2M · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9063.TLocal privado en este navegador · Okayamaken Freight Transportation Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.8B

P/E

2.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.5x

↓

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

7.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.59

↑
52-Week Range$3870
$3205$4900

TradingView lightweight chart

9063.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,870Periodo +158.0%
Fair value: $3,870

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.1%

FCF / Net income

0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $38.35B · net income $957.5M · FCF $422.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.1%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-0.7% pts

Net margin

2.5%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

1.1%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$38.35B$38.35B$37.69B$38.47B$39.28B
Net Income$957.5M$957.5M$2.50B$950.8M$1.24B
EBITDA$3.31B$3.31B$5.56B$3.22B$3.75B
EPS472.40472.401230.93469.07613.16
Gross Margin7.1%7.1%6.5%7.5%7.6%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%1.7%2.9%3.1%
Net Margin2.5%2.5%6.6%2.5%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.590.590.610.800.74
Current Ratio1.481.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$422.7M$422.7M$-854.2M$-1.55B$-725.3M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%11.1%4.8%6.5%
Valuation
P/E2.882.882.785.914.57
EV/EBITDA4.514.512.634.693.64
P/B0.340.340.310.280.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%-2.0%-2.0%—
EPS Growth-61.6%-61.6%162.4%-23.5%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$343.40

Spread vs growth

-51.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$415.51

Spread vs growth

-59.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$669.19

Spread vs growth

-65.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.1%

Total return

+17.1%

Start / end P/E

2.8x → 8.2x

EPS bridge

1230.93 → 472.40

Residual

-120.6%

EPS growth-61.6%
Multiple rerating+195.7%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-120.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.