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9083.T$1970.00+0.76%
Fair $1970.00+0.0%

9083.T

Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsTokyo

$1970.00

+15.00 (+0.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1970.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-174.0M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 5.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9083.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shinki Bus Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.8B

P/E

7.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

5.0%

↓

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$1970
$1725$2161

TradingView lightweight chart

9083.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,980Periodo +49.4%
Fair value: $1,970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.9%

FCF CAGR

-47.8%

FCF margin

0.6%

FCF / Net income

0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $52.95B · net income $2.47B · FCF $324.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.1%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

6.6%+5.8% pts

Net margin

4.7%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

0.6%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$52.95B$52.95B$49.48B$44.82B$38.81B
Net Income$2.47B$2.47B$2.25B$1.77B$2.14B
EBITDA$5.69B$5.69B$4.96B$4.27B$5.57B
EPS204.94204.94186.86146.65177.45
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%23.0%21.4%22.3%
Operating Margin6.6%6.6%6.4%5.3%0.8%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%4.5%3.9%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.050.070.10
Current Ratio1.291.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$324.0M$324.0M$-2.83B$-174.0M$2.28B
Returns
ROE5.0%5.0%4.7%3.9%5.0%
Valuation
P/E7.537.539.1811.498.92
EV/EBITDA3.763.763.433.122.20
P/B0.480.480.440.450.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%10.4%15.5%—
EPS Growth9.7%9.7%27.4%-17.4%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$174.80

Spread vs growth

14.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$211.51

Spread vs growth

9.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$340.64

Spread vs growth

4.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.9%

Total return

+14.9%

Start / end P/E

9.4x → 9.7x

EPS bridge

186.86 → 204.94

Residual

+0.2%

EPS growth+9.7%
Multiple rerating+2.4%
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.