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9159.T$2070.00+1.62%
Fair $2070.00+0.0%

9159.T

W TOKYO Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$2070.00

+33.00 (+1.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2070.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $554.7M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9159.TLocal privado en este navegador · W TOKYO Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.4B

P/E

36.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.7x

↑

ROE

11.0%

↑

Gross Margin

35.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$2070
$1485$3260

TradingView lightweight chart

9159.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,070Periodo -69.1%
Fair value: $2,070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.9%

FCF CAGR

+43.8%

FCF margin

14.1%

FCF / Net income

3.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.93B · net income $173.1M · FCF $554.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.2%-9.0% pts

Operating margin

9.0%+4.4% pts

Net margin

4.4%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

14.1%+5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.93B$3.93B$3.96B$3.62B$2.07B
Net Income$173.1M$173.1M$327.6M$406.3M$129.0M
EBITDA$502.3M$502.3M$690.3M$813.3M$272.9M
EPS63.6363.63116.21146.6853.54
Gross Margin35.2%35.2%38.3%43.9%44.1%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%12.8%17.8%4.5%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%8.3%11.2%6.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.550.912.74
Current Ratio2.402.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$554.7M$554.7M$168.1M$851.0M$186.4M
Returns
ROE11.0%11.0%19.8%32.0%24.7%
Valuation
P/E36.9036.9022.3833.64—
EV/EBITDA8.708.709.1315.80—
P/B3.583.584.4410.76—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%9.4%75.1%—
EPS Growth-45.2%-45.2%-20.8%173.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$183.68

Spread vs growth

-87.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$222.25

Spread vs growth

-73.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$357.94

Spread vs growth

-64.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.1%

Total return

+35.1%

Start / end P/E

13.2x → 32.5x

EPS bridge

116.21 → 63.63

Residual

-66.4%

EPS growth-45.2%
Multiple rerating+146.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-66.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.