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9193.T$903.00-0.66%
Fair $903.00+0.0%

9193.T

Tokyo Kisen Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Marine ShippingTokyo

$903.00

-6.00 (-0.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $903.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.4B · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9193.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokyo Kisen Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.0B

P/E

1.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.0x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$903
$871$1359

TradingView lightweight chart

9193.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $903.00Periodo +191.3%
Fair value: $903.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-20.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.04B · net income $2.04B · FCF $-2.44B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%+0.9% pts

Operating margin

-4.2%+1.3% pts

Net margin

17.0%+18.8% pts

FCF margin

-20.3%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.04B$12.04B$12.52B$11.87B$10.70B
Net Income$2.04B$2.04B$572.7M$416.1M$-192.9M
EBITDA$4.15B$4.15B$2.38B$1.91B$1.25B
EPS205.46205.4657.5741.83-19.40
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%18.6%16.5%11.2%
Operating Margin-4.2%-4.2%2.9%0.8%-5.5%
Net Margin17.0%17.0%4.6%3.5%-1.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.150.150.18
Current Ratio2.652.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.44B$-2.44B$-2.80B$-1.02B$-1.21B
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%2.7%2.0%-1.0%
Valuation
P/E1.781.7811.4612.46—
EV/EBITDA0.980.980.94-0.39-0.65
P/B0.380.380.300.250.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.8%-3.8%5.5%10.9%—
EPS Growth256.9%256.9%37.6%315.6%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-26.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$80.13

Spread vs growth

283.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$96.95

Spread vs growth

270.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$156.14

Spread vs growth

259.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.5%

Total return

-6.5%

Start / end P/E

17.2x → 4.4x

EPS bridge

57.57 → 205.46

Residual

-191.2%

EPS growth+256.9%
Multiple rerating-74.4%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-191.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.