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9218.T$685.00-1.72%
Fair $685.00+0.0%

9218.T

Mental Health Technologies Co.,Ltd.

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesTokyo

$685.00

-12.00 (-1.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $685.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $199.1M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9218.TLocal privado en este navegador · Mental Health Technologies Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E

28.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

↑

ROE

16.3%

↑

Gross Margin

33.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.67

↑
52-Week Range$685
$638$888

TradingView lightweight chart

9218.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $685.00Periodo -23.6%
Fair value: $685.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+41.2%

FCF CAGR

+15.5%

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

1.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.44B · net income $254.9M · FCF $500.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.0%-29.4% pts

Operating margin

9.3%-6.9% pts

Net margin

4.0%-7.6% pts

FCF margin

7.8%-6.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.44B$6.44B$5.13B$2.61B$2.29B
Net Income$254.9M$254.9M$-29.8M$441.4M$265.1M
EBITDA$648.5M$648.5M$224.9M$559.9M$427.2M
EPS——-2.9241.7825.13
Gross Margin33.0%33.0%35.8%55.5%62.5%
Operating Margin9.3%9.3%2.1%19.2%16.2%
Net Margin4.0%4.0%-0.6%16.9%11.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.671.671.980.300.28
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$500.6M$500.6M$199.1M$111.8M$325.2M
Returns
ROE16.3%16.3%-2.3%39.6%40.5%
Valuation
P/E28.4028.40—19.1041.74
EV/EBITDA12.7712.7739.7014.0224.79
P/B4.574.575.777.5616.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.3%25.3%96.8%14.0%—
EPS Growth——-107.0%66.3%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.2%

Total return

-2.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.92 → n/d

Residual

-3.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.