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9238.T$482.00-3.41%
Fair $482.00+0.0%

9238.T

9238.T

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$482.00

-17.00 (-3.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $482.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $144.0M · quality 60.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9238.TLocal privado en este navegador · 9238.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

7.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

14.8%

↑

Gross Margin

32.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.19

↑
52-Week Range$482
$482$2044

TradingView lightweight chart

9238.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $482.00Periodo -64.5%
Fair value: $482.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.1%

FCF CAGR

+65.3%

FCF margin

4.0%

FCF / Net income

1.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.43B · net income $86.4M · FCF $135.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.0%+6.0% pts

Operating margin

3.5%+2.8% pts

Net margin

2.5%+1.8% pts

FCF margin

4.0%+2.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.43B$3.43B$2.95B$2.82B$2.44B
Net Income$86.4M$86.4M$114.4M$86.0M$16.7M
EBITDA$160.6M$160.6M$188.5M$134.7M$39.3M
EPS——48.9421.517.54
Gross Margin32.0%32.0%33.9%31.5%26.0%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%5.9%4.0%0.8%
Net Margin2.5%2.5%3.9%3.0%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.191.191.425.5512.07
Current Ratio1.181.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$135.9M$135.9M$295.9M$144.0M$30.1M
Returns
ROE14.8%14.8%22.5%58.4%27.2%
Valuation
P/E7.387.3824.22——
EV/EBITDA4.114.1112.10——
P/B1.911.915.44——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.4%16.4%4.4%15.8%—
EPS Growth——127.5%185.2%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -60.4%

Total return

-60.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

48.94 → n/d

Residual

-62.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-62.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.