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v0.1
9248.T$1497.00-1.06%
Fair $1497.00+0.0%

9248.T

People, Dreams & Technologies Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$1497.00

-16.00 (-1.06%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1497.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $468.0M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9248.TLocal privado en este navegador · People, Dreams & Technologies Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.3B

P/E

5.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

7.5%

↑

Gross Margin

27.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$1497
$1455$1900

TradingView lightweight chart

9248.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,497Periodo -30.1%
Fair value: $1,497

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $45.98B · net income $1.56B · FCF $-2.01B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.9%-2.5% pts

Operating margin

5.8%-3.2% pts

Net margin

3.4%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

-4.4%+0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$45.98B$45.98B$39.81B$39.81B$37.60B
Net Income$1.56B$1.56B$-190.0M$1.20B$2.33B
EBITDA$3.32B$3.32B$1.32B$3.10B$4.14B
EPS176.75176.75-21.30134.74261.95
Gross Margin27.9%27.9%28.2%28.8%30.4%
Operating Margin5.8%5.8%4.5%7.2%9.0%
Net Margin3.4%3.4%-0.5%3.0%6.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.240.160.07
Current Ratio1.951.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.01B$-2.01B$589.0M$468.0M$-1.78B
Returns
ROE7.5%7.5%-0.9%5.8%11.8%
Valuation
P/E5.455.45—11.6810.23
EV/EBITDA3.813.818.813.244.27
P/B0.640.640.760.681.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.5%15.5%0.0%5.9%—
EPS Growth929.8%929.8%-115.8%-48.6%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$132.83

Spread vs growth

938.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$160.73

Spread vs growth

931.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$258.86

Spread vs growth

925.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.6%

Total return

-5.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-21.30 → 176.75

Residual

-9.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.