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9268.T$383.00-2.54%
Fair $383.00+0.0%

9268.T

Optimus Group Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsTokyo

$383.00

-10.00 (-2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $383.00Fund rank 17/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-934.0M · quality 13.7/100

Data gap 17/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 5.05, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9268.TLocal privado en este navegador · Optimus Group Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.2B

P/E

10.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.0x

↓

ROE

-2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

16.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

5.05

↑
52-Week Range$383
$318$503

TradingView lightweight chart

9268.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $383.00Periodo +97.7%
Fair value: $383.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+80.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.3%

FCF / Net income

1.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $268.82B · net income $-483.0M · FCF $-934.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.2%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-4.1% pts

Net margin

-0.2%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.3%+4.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$268.82B$268.82B$123.93B$54.95B$45.54B
Net Income$-483.0M$-483.0M$2.85B$2.32B$2.54B
EBITDA$14.81B$14.81B$8.46B$4.09B$4.10B
EPS-7.35-7.3550.5542.61—
Gross Margin16.2%16.2%16.5%14.8%16.8%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%5.6%5.4%6.7%
Net Margin-0.2%-0.2%2.3%4.2%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity5.055.055.221.781.57
Current Ratio0.900.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-934.0M$-934.0M$1.23B$-3.82B$-2.40B
Returns
ROE-2.0%-2.0%14.6%13.8%17.4%
Valuation
P/E10.5910.5918.005.32—
EV/EBITDA8.968.9616.228.036.36
P/B1.061.062.630.730.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth116.9%116.9%125.5%20.7%—
EPS Growth-114.5%-114.5%18.6%——
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.9%

Total return

+17.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

50.55 → -7.35

Residual

+13.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.