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9279.T$3935.00-0.88%
Fair $3935.00+0.0%

9279.T

Gift Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$3935.00

-35.00 (-0.88%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3935.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-788.3M · quality 41.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9279.TLocal privado en este navegador · Gift Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$78.9B

P/E

36.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

18.4x

↑

ROE

21.1%

↑

Gross Margin

66.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$3935
$2943$4970

TradingView lightweight chart

9279.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,935Periodo +361.6%
Fair value: $3,935

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+28.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $35.88B · net income $2.19B · FCF $-1.10B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.8%-2.8% pts

Operating margin

9.4%+0.2% pts

Net margin

6.1%-2.9% pts

FCF margin

-3.1%-6.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$35.88B$35.88B$28.47B$22.98B$17.02B
Net Income$2.19B$2.19B$1.88B$1.60B$1.54B
EBITDA$4.46B$4.46B$3.60B$2.95B$2.71B
EPS——93.8279.9577.01
Gross Margin66.8%66.8%67.9%67.8%69.6%
Operating Margin9.4%9.4%10.2%10.2%9.2%
Net Margin6.1%6.1%6.6%6.9%9.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.480.340.32
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.10B$-1.10B$-788.3M$925.7M$635.2M
Returns
ROE21.1%21.1%22.4%23.6%28.3%
Valuation
P/E36.0436.0438.3727.0823.37
EV/EBITDA18.4218.4220.4514.7113.18
P/B7.627.628.606.396.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.0%26.0%23.9%35.1%—
EPS Growth——17.3%3.8%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.6%

Total return

+18.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

93.82 → n/d

Residual

+18.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+18.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.