StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
9304.T$1401.00-0.85%
Fair $1401.00+0.0%

9304.T

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsTokyo

$1401.00

-12.00 (-0.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1401.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-162.0M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9304.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shibusawa Logistics Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$79.8B

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.9x

↑

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

11.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$1401
$926$1466

TradingView lightweight chart

9304.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,401Periodo +387.3%
Fair value: $1,401

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $78.62B · net income $4.91B · FCF $-162.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.3%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

5.9%-0.4% pts

Net margin

6.2%-1.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-7.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$78.62B$78.62B$73.41B$78.50B$71.74B
Net Income$4.91B$4.91B$3.73B$3.76B$5.26B
EBITDA$10.06B$10.06B$8.32B$8.40B$10.08B
EPS84.3184.3161.5261.95—
Gross Margin11.3%11.3%11.2%11.0%11.1%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%5.8%6.2%6.3%
Net Margin6.2%6.2%5.1%4.8%7.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.440.660.68
Current Ratio1.241.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-162.0M$-162.0M$-814.0M$5.42B$5.17B
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%6.0%6.6%9.9%
Valuation
P/E12.6612.6612.398.82—
EV/EBITDA9.959.957.355.805.15
P/B1.271.270.750.580.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.1%7.1%-6.5%9.4%—
EPS Growth37.0%37.0%-0.7%——
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$124.32

Spread vs growth

23.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$150.42

Spread vs growth

24.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$242.26

Spread vs growth

25.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +55.0%

Total return

+55.0%

Start / end P/E

15.2x → 16.6x

EPS bridge

61.52 → 84.31

Residual

+3.5%

EPS growth+37.0%
Multiple rerating+9.5%
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.