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9307.T$958.00-3.55%
Fair $958.00+0.0%

9307.T

Sugimura Warehouse Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$958.00

-37.00 (-3.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $958.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 84.7/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 89/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9307.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sugimura Warehouse Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.7B

P/E

16.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

5.5%

↓

Gross Margin

23.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$958
$730$1119

TradingView lightweight chart

9307.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,006Periodo +101.2%
Fair value: $958.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.3%

FCF CAGR

+15.6%

FCF margin

15.1%

FCF / Net income

1.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.24B · net income $917.3M · FCF $1.70B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.3%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

12.2%+0.6% pts

Net margin

8.2%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

15.1%+4.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11.24B$11.24B$10.85B$10.55B$10.19B
Net Income$917.3M$917.3M$863.8M$716.7M$800.3M
EBITDA$2.34B$2.34B$2.29B$2.03B$2.05B
EPS56.1156.1152.8643.8448.97
Gross Margin23.3%23.3%22.3%20.4%21.1%
Operating Margin12.2%12.2%11.9%10.0%11.5%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%8.0%6.8%7.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.210.280.34
Current Ratio5.145.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.70B$1.70B$1.68B$1.48B$1.10B
Returns
ROE5.5%5.5%5.4%4.7%5.5%
Valuation
P/E16.2016.2011.2015.8814.50
EV/EBITDA5.715.713.855.926.67
P/B0.930.930.600.750.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.5%3.5%2.8%3.6%—
EPS Growth6.1%6.1%20.6%-10.5%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$85.01

Spread vs growth

-8.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$102.86

Spread vs growth

-6.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$165.65

Spread vs growth

-5.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +33.0%

Total return

+33.0%

Start / end P/E

14.5x → 17.9x

EPS bridge

52.86 → 56.11

Residual

+1.4%

EPS growth+6.1%
Multiple rerating+23.4%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.