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9310.T$1070.00-2.37%
Fair $1070.00+0.0%

9310.T

Japan Transcity Corporation

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsTokyo

$1070.00

-26.00 (-2.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1070.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.1B · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9310.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan Transcity Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$66.2B

P/E

10.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

6.6%

↑

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.41

↑
52-Week Range$1070
$913$1445

TradingView lightweight chart

9310.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,070Periodo +460.2%
Fair value: $1,070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

+34.7%

FCF margin

9.2%

FCF / Net income

1.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $124.77B · net income $6.04B · FCF $11.42B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

6.3%+0.5% pts

Net margin

4.8%+0.0% pts

FCF margin

9.2%+5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$124.77B$124.77B$122.56B$134.06B$116.75B
Net Income$6.04B$6.04B$4.63B$6.16B$5.60B
EBITDA$14.46B$14.46B$12.28B$14.37B$12.70B
EPS95.7595.7572.5395.73—
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%11.0%10.4%11.1%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%5.1%5.4%5.7%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%3.8%4.6%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.490.360.42
Current Ratio1.861.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.42B$11.42B$-10.73B$8.07B$4.68B
Returns
ROE6.6%6.6%5.4%8.0%8.0%
Valuation
P/E10.1410.149.396.29—
EV/EBITDA5.385.385.153.243.99
P/B0.740.740.510.510.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.8%1.8%-8.6%14.8%—
EPS Growth32.0%32.0%-24.2%——
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$94.94

Spread vs growth

32.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$114.88

Spread vs growth

28.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$185.02

Spread vs growth

25.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.6%

Total return

+17.6%

Start / end P/E

13.0x → 11.2x

EPS bridge

72.53 → 95.75

Residual

-4.5%

EPS growth+32.0%
Multiple rerating-14.0%
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.