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9405.T$797.00-2.65%
Fair $797.00+0.0%

9405.T

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation

Communication Services / BroadcastingTokyo

$797.00

-22.00 (-2.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $797.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $402.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9405.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$33.3B

P/E

7.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.7x

↓

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

32.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$797
$653$952

TradingView lightweight chart

9405.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $807.00Periodo -29.1%
Fair value: $797.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.6%

FCF CAGR

+16.5%

FCF margin

0.4%

FCF / Net income

0.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $91.92B · net income $2.50B · FCF $402.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.8%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-2.1% pts

Net margin

2.7%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

0.4%+0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$91.92B$91.92B$90.45B$87.03B$85.10B
Net Income$2.50B$2.50B$-884.0M$1.35B$2.67B
EBITDA$7.27B$7.27B$3.38B$5.82B$7.97B
EPS59.9559.95-21.1932.42—
Gross Margin32.8%32.8%30.5%33.3%34.7%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%0.9%3.0%4.9%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%-1.0%1.6%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.190.180.19
Current Ratio2.432.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$402.0M$402.0M$1.86B$-1.91B$254.0M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%-1.2%2.0%4.0%
Valuation
P/E7.477.47—20.20—
EV/EBITDA3.673.675.052.972.29
P/B0.430.430.370.390.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.6%1.6%3.9%2.3%—
EPS Growth382.9%382.9%-165.4%——
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$70.72

Spread vs growth

377.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$85.57

Spread vs growth

375.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$137.81

Spread vs growth

374.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.1%

Total return

+23.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-21.19 → 59.95

Residual

+20.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+20.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.