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9407.KL$4.87-0.20%
Fair $4.87+0.0%

9407.KL

Paragon Union Berhad

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsKuala Lumpur

$4.87

-0.01 (-0.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.87Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.9M · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9407.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Paragon Union Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$492M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

1773.5x

↑

ROE

-2.5%

↓

Gross Margin

16.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$5
$2$5

TradingView lightweight chart

9407.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.870Periodo +82.4%
Fair value: $4.870

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-15.7%

FCF / Net income

3.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $62.7M · net income $-3.0M · FCF $-9.8M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

16.7%+14.8% pts

Operating margin

-8.7%+27.8% pts

Net margin

-4.7%+33.3% pts

FCF margin

-15.7%+6.6% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$62.7M$62.7M$60.4M$61.0M$40.4M
Net Income$-3.0M$-3.0M$9.1M$-5.7M$-15.4M
EBITDA$286000.00$286000.00$12.4M$-2.1M$-12.2M
EPS——0.11-0.07-0.22
Gross Margin16.7%16.7%14.9%10.5%1.9%
Operating Margin-8.7%-8.7%-7.3%-10.1%-36.6%
Net Margin-4.7%-4.7%15.0%-9.3%-38.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.150.570.41
Current Ratio1.681.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.8M$-9.8M$-3.1M$-5.9M$-9.0M
Returns
ROE-2.5%-2.5%12.0%-16.9%-39.1%
Valuation
P/E——28.81——
EV/EBITDA1773.501773.5021.83——
P/B4.184.183.474.802.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.9%3.9%-1.0%50.7%—
EPS Growth——259.7%68.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +144.7%

Total return

+144.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.11 → n/d

Residual

+144.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+144.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.