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9424.T$111.00-3.48%
Fair $111.00+0.0%

9424.T

Japan Communications Inc.

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesTokyo

$111.00

-4.00 (-3.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $111.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $701.2M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9424.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan Communications Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$18.5B

P/E

24.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.8x

↑

ROE

22.2%

↑

Gross Margin

41.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.53

↑
52-Week Range$111
$111$193

TradingView lightweight chart

9424.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $111.00Periodo -30.6%
Fair value: $111.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.4%

FCF / Net income

0.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.24B · net income $849.4M · FCF $127.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.6%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

10.4%+4.4% pts

Net margin

9.2%+2.8% pts

FCF margin

1.4%+6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.24B$9.24B$7.40B$6.07B$4.63B
Net Income$849.4M$849.4M$1.37B$690.7M$294.1M
EBITDA$1.17B$1.17B$1.72B$857.0M$321.7M
EPS5.125.128.274.151.77
Gross Margin41.6%41.6%44.1%43.1%40.0%
Operating Margin10.4%10.4%15.4%12.2%6.0%
Net Margin9.2%9.2%18.4%11.4%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.530.530.020.01—
Current Ratio3.463.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$127.2M$127.2M$855.3M$701.2M$-247.1M
Returns
ROE22.2%22.2%47.3%46.1%40.8%
Valuation
P/E24.2424.2424.0662.89107.91
EV/EBITDA13.8413.8417.6148.8695.78
P/B4.814.8111.3828.9844.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.8%24.8%21.8%31.1%—
EPS Growth-38.1%-38.1%99.3%134.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.85

Spread vs growth

-62.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$11.92

Spread vs growth

-56.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$19.19

Spread vs growth

-52.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.2%

Total return

-30.2%

Start / end P/E

19.2x → 21.7x

EPS bridge

8.27 → 5.12

Residual

-4.9%

EPS growth-38.1%
Multiple rerating+12.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.