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9446.T$692.00+0.29%
Fair $692.00+0.0%

9446.T

SAKAI Holdings CO.,LTD

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesTokyo

$692.00

+2.00 (+0.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $692.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.9B · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.79, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9446.TLocal privado en este navegador · SAKAI Holdings CO.,LTD
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.2B

P/E

6.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

21.5%

↑

Gross Margin

37.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.79

↑
52-Week Range$692
$426$758

TradingView lightweight chart

9446.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $692.00Periodo +125.7%
Fair value: $692.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

+11.0%

FCF margin

11.0%

FCF / Net income

1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.02B · net income $987.1M · FCF $1.88B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.6%-2.6% pts

Operating margin

8.6%-0.2% pts

Net margin

5.8%+2.1% pts

FCF margin

11.0%+1.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.02B$17.02B$15.48B$14.85B$14.24B
Net Income$987.1M$987.1M$1.32B$815.2M$532.5M
EBITDA$2.64B$2.64B$2.99B$2.39B$2.07B
EPS———78.7151.24
Gross Margin37.6%37.6%36.4%38.2%40.2%
Operating Margin8.6%8.6%9.1%9.0%8.8%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%8.5%5.5%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.792.792.933.604.78
Current Ratio0.710.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.88B$1.88B$910.4M$2.06B$1.37B
Returns
ROE21.5%21.5%28.3%19.2%14.8%
Valuation
P/E6.406.40—7.3710.52
EV/EBITDA5.755.755.257.499.29
P/B1.131.131.021.421.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.9%9.9%4.3%4.3%—
EPS Growth———53.6%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +65.8%

Total return

+65.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+60.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+60.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.