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9466.T$226.00+0.44%
Fair $226.00+0.0%

9466.T

Aidma Marketing Communication Corporation

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$226.00

+1.00 (+0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $226.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $234.0M · quality 79.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 9466.TLocal privado en este navegador · Aidma Marketing Communication Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

16.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

2.8x

↓

ROE

14.3%

↑

Gross Margin

24.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$226
$224$275

TradingView lightweight chart

9466.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $226.00Periodo -54.1%
Fair value: $226.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.0%

FCF CAGR

+9.6%

FCF margin

3.8%

FCF / Net income

0.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.59B · net income $473.0M · FCF $213.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.9%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

6.4%+2.6% pts

Net margin

8.5%+7.4% pts

FCF margin

3.8%+1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.59B$5.59B$5.84B$5.96B$6.12B
Net Income$473.0M$473.0M$158.4M$-132.4M$62.6M
EBITDA$448.6M$448.6M$338.8M$96.6M$241.8M
EPS36.1636.1612.11-10.124.79
Gross Margin24.9%24.9%22.6%23.1%22.0%
Operating Margin6.4%6.4%5.2%5.3%3.8%
Net Margin8.5%8.5%2.7%-2.2%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.160.190.17
Current Ratio4.254.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$213.7M$213.7M$234.0M$316.6M$162.4M
Returns
ROE14.3%14.3%5.4%-4.6%2.0%
Valuation
P/E16.5016.5018.99—59.71
EV/EBITDA2.812.812.9218.768.63
P/B0.900.901.021.301.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.3%-4.3%-2.0%-2.6%—
EPS Growth198.6%198.6%219.7%-311.3%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-17.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$20.05

Spread vs growth

216.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$24.27

Spread vs growth

206.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$39.08

Spread vs growth

197.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.3%

Total return

-3.3%

Start / end P/E

20.2x → 6.3x

EPS bridge

12.11 → 36.16

Residual

-137.2%

EPS growth+198.6%
Multiple rerating-69.1%
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-137.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.