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9475.T$461.00+1.97%
Fair $461.00+0.0%

9475.T

Shobunsha Holdings, Inc.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$461.00

+9.00 (+1.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $461.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $316.6M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9475.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shobunsha Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.3B

P/E

6.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.2x

↓

ROE

4.2%

↑

Gross Margin

38.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$461
$399$585

TradingView lightweight chart

9475.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $466.00Periodo -62.4%
Fair value: $461.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.3%

FCF / Net income

0.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.26B · net income $541.4M · FCF $329.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.6%+22.6% pts

Operating margin

3.0%+33.5% pts

Net margin

8.7%+42.8% pts

FCF margin

5.3%+19.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.26B$6.26B$6.41B$5.55B$4.62B
Net Income$541.4M$541.4M$1.77B$30.1M$-1.58B
EBITDA$806.1M$806.1M$2.17B$229.2M$-1.32B
EPS29.7829.7897.441.66-86.82
Gross Margin38.6%38.6%40.8%36.5%16.0%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%6.8%2.4%-30.5%
Net Margin8.7%8.7%27.6%0.5%-34.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.060.070.07
Current Ratio2.672.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$329.1M$329.1M$-797.2M$316.6M$-655.6M
Returns
ROE4.2%4.2%14.0%0.3%-15.1%
Valuation
P/E6.906.903.98173.49—
EV/EBITDA3.173.170.715.51—
P/B0.640.640.560.500.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.4%-2.4%15.4%20.2%—
EPS Growth-69.4%-69.4%5769.9%101.9%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$40.91

Spread vs growth

-80.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$49.50

Spread vs growth

-80.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$79.71

Spread vs growth

-79.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.7%

Total return

+18.7%

Start / end P/E

4.1x → 15.6x

EPS bridge

97.44 → 29.78

Residual

-195.2%

EPS growth-69.4%
Multiple rerating+281.2%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-195.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.