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9476.T$1000.00+4.60%
Fair $1000.00+0.0%

9476.T

Chuokeizai-Sha Holdings, Inc.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$1000.00

+44.00 (+4.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1000.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 63/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $281.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

63/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9476.TLocal privado en este navegador · Chuokeizai-Sha Holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

12.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.8x

↓

ROE

5.6%

↑

Gross Margin

36.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$1000
$531$1050

TradingView lightweight chart

9476.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,000Periodo +212.5%
Fair value: $1,000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.0%

FCF / Net income

1.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.26B · net income $245.3M · FCF $359.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.9%+3.4% pts

Operating margin

7.2%+2.6% pts

Net margin

7.5%+2.1% pts

FCF margin

11.0%+21.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.26B$3.26B$3.10B$3.03B$3.17B
Net Income$245.3M$245.3M$-172.3M$54.0M$172.3M
EBITDA$364.3M$364.3M$28.2M$133.8M$258.4M
EPS63.3563.35-45.3414.4846.20
Gross Margin36.9%36.9%35.3%34.8%33.4%
Operating Margin7.2%7.2%3.9%3.0%4.6%
Net Margin7.5%7.5%-5.6%1.8%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.110.120.07
Current Ratio4.294.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$359.1M$359.1M$281.2M$-661.5M$-326.8M
Returns
ROE5.6%5.6%-4.1%1.3%4.1%
Valuation
P/E12.2312.23—31.6310.65
EV/EBITDA6.786.7823.996.270.99
P/B0.890.890.450.400.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%2.3%-4.4%—
EPS Growth239.7%239.7%-413.1%-68.7%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$88.73

Spread vs growth

227.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$107.37

Spread vs growth

228.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$172.92

Spread vs growth

229.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +89.0%

Total return

+89.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-45.34 → 63.35

Residual

+87.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+87.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.