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9530.SR$21.30-0.47%
Fair $21.30+0.0%

9530.SR

Arabian International Healthcare Holding Company

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesSaudi

$21.30

-0.10 (-0.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.30Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.9M · quality 37.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9530.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Arabian International Healthcare Holding Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$426M

P/E

14.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

↓

ROE

6.5%

↑

Gross Margin

23.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$21
$18$38

TradingView lightweight chart

9530.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.30Periodo -70.6%
Fair value: $21.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $842.2M · net income $23.6M · FCF $-2.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.1%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

7.8%+1.5% pts

Net margin

2.8%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-8.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$842.2M$842.2M$739.3M$806.9M$642.7M
Net Income$23.6M$23.6M$-66.6M$38.1M$20.5M
EBITDA$89.9M$89.9M$3.5M$105.4M$65.1M
EPS——-3.371.921.02
Gross Margin23.1%23.1%23.3%23.6%24.0%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%7.3%6.6%6.3%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%-9.0%4.7%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.922.001.661.62
Current Ratio1.471.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.1M$-2.1M$101.0M$3.9M$53.8M
Returns
ROE6.5%6.5%-27.3%12.4%7.1%
Valuation
P/E14.7914.79—20.7040.15
EV/EBITDA8.398.39340.7711.5318.51
P/B1.151.153.242.572.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.9%13.9%-8.4%25.6%—
EPS Growth——-275.5%88.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.8%

Total return

-28.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.37 → n/d

Residual

-28.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.