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v0.1
9536.SR$39.70-9.73%
Fair $39.70+0.0%

9536.SR

Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsSaudi

$39.70

-4.28 (-9.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $39.70Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $734988.00 · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9536.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$56M

P/E

34.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.1x

↓

ROE

4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

45.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$40
$39$74

TradingView lightweight chart

9536.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.70Periodo -72.1%
Fair value: $39.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $64.1M · net income $1.6M · FCF $-2.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.3%+5.0% pts

Operating margin

4.9%-2.2% pts

Net margin

2.5%-4.0% pts

FCF margin

-3.3%-8.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$64.1M$64.1M$61.1M$62.2M$58.0M
Net Income$1.6M$1.6M$5.2M$6.0M$3.8M
EBITDA$8.1M$8.1M$11.4M$10.4M$8.2M
EPS——3.704.252.68
Gross Margin45.3%45.3%49.2%46.3%40.3%
Operating Margin4.9%4.9%9.7%9.8%7.2%
Net Margin2.5%2.5%8.5%9.6%6.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.340.010.01
Current Ratio2.772.77———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.1M$-2.1M$734988.00$6.3M$2.7M
Returns
ROE4.9%4.9%15.2%18.9%13.0%
Valuation
P/E34.8234.8224.3221.6033.99
EV/EBITDA8.078.0711.2611.9615.27
P/B1.691.693.704.084.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.7%4.7%-1.7%7.2%—
EPS Growth——-12.9%58.6%—
Dividend Yield6.8%6.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -38.0%

Total return

-38.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.70 → n/d

Residual

-44.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-44.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.