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9553.T$595.00+2.94%
Fair $595.00+0.0%

9553.T

MicroAd, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$595.00

+17.00 (+2.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $595.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-115.2M · quality 37.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9553.TLocal privado en este navegador · MicroAd, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.4B

P/E

21.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

42.1x

↑

ROE

5.5%

↑

Gross Margin

30.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.77

↑
52-Week Range$595
$321$957

TradingView lightweight chart

9553.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $595.00Periodo +48.4%
Fair value: $595.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.6%

FCF CAGR

+7.9%

FCF margin

3.2%

FCF / Net income

2.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.67B · net income $195.1M · FCF $509.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.7%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

3.9%-1.2% pts

Net margin

1.2%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

3.2%-0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.67B$15.67B$13.71B$12.87B$12.23B
Net Income$195.1M$195.1M$282.7M$565.3M$496.4M
EBITDA$396.6M$396.6M$634.0M$957.9M$643.0M
EPS7.107.1010.0319.8519.36
Gross Margin30.7%30.7%29.8%32.1%31.0%
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%2.2%6.5%5.1%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%2.1%4.4%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.770.770.750.380.40
Current Ratio1.091.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$509.2M$509.2M$-115.2M$-210.7M$405.2M
Returns
ROE5.5%5.5%8.6%18.2%21.4%
Valuation
P/E21.9521.9525.0230.1813.95
EV/EBITDA42.1342.1311.1415.947.07
P/B4.634.632.165.492.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.3%14.3%6.6%5.2%—
EPS Growth-29.2%-29.2%-49.5%2.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

95.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$52.80

Spread vs growth

-124.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

55.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$63.88

Spread vs growth

-84.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

30.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$102.89

Spread vs growth

-59.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +69.5%

Total return

+69.5%

Start / end P/E

35.0x → 83.8x

EPS bridge

10.03 → 7.10

Residual

-40.7%

EPS growth-29.2%
Multiple rerating+139.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-40.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.