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v0.1
9554.T$1727.00+2.61%
Fair $1727.00+0.0%

9554.T

AViC Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$1727.00

+44.00 (+2.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1727.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 64/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $254.8M · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

64/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9554.TLocal privado en este navegador · AViC Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.0B

P/E

18.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.9x

↑

ROE

23.1%

↑

Gross Margin

60.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.31

↑
52-Week Range$1727
$1180$2420

TradingView lightweight chart

9554.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,727Periodo +57.0%
Fair value: $1,727

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+29.1%

FCF CAGR

+27.0%

FCF margin

23.9%

FCF / Net income

1.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.68B · net income $539.6M · FCF $639.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.8%+7.7% pts

Operating margin

27.0%+1.6% pts

Net margin

20.1%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

23.9%-1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.68B$2.68B$1.93B$1.49B$1.25B
Net Income$539.6M$539.6M$310.1M$219.3M$226.2M
EBITDA$803.4M$803.4M$493.1M$306.9M$312.2M
EPS85.2885.2850.2237.7139.68
Gross Margin60.8%60.8%58.7%53.7%53.1%
Operating Margin27.0%27.0%23.1%21.4%25.4%
Net Margin20.1%20.1%16.0%14.7%18.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.310.310.210.200.06
Current Ratio2.522.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$639.4M$639.4M$254.8M$-12.3M$312.2M
Returns
ROE23.1%23.1%19.8%22.4%31.7%
Valuation
P/E18.0018.0020.9320.9233.17
EV/EBITDA11.9011.9011.3113.1321.85
P/B4.684.684.154.6910.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth38.6%38.6%30.0%19.5%—
EPS Growth69.8%69.8%33.2%-5.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$153.24

Spread vs growth

48.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$185.42

Spread vs growth

53.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$298.63

Spread vs growth

56.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.2%

Total return

-0.2%

Start / end P/E

34.5x → 20.3x

EPS bridge

50.22 → 85.28

Residual

-28.8%

EPS growth+69.8%
Multiple rerating-41.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.