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v0.1
9564.SR$37.74+0.00%
Fair $37.74+0.0%

9564.SR

Horizon Food Company Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsSaudi

$37.74

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $37.74Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.2M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9564.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Horizon Food Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$302M

P/E

51.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.8x

↑

ROE

4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

28.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$38
$30$41

TradingView lightweight chart

9564.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $37.74Periodo -6.8%
Fair value: $37.74

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.8%

FCF / Net income

0.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $72.9M · net income $5.5M · FCF $4.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.5%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

7.9%-5.8% pts

Net margin

7.6%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

5.8%+29.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$72.9M$72.9M$67.9M$55.1M$66.7M
Net Income$5.5M$5.5M$10.2M$9.2M$8.9M
EBITDA$11.4M$11.4M$14.0M$12.9M$12.7M
EPS0.690.691.271.161.11
Gross Margin28.5%28.5%32.0%29.9%29.0%
Operating Margin7.9%7.9%15.8%16.8%13.7%
Net Margin7.6%7.6%15.0%16.8%13.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.010.01
Current Ratio4.214.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.2M$4.2M$-3.2M$4.8M$-15.7M
Returns
ROE4.7%4.7%9.1%9.0%9.6%
Valuation
P/E51.7051.7030.5556.90—
EV/EBITDA25.8125.8121.9840.55—
P/B2.572.572.775.16—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.3%7.3%23.3%-17.3%—
EPS Growth-45.7%-45.7%9.5%4.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

69.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.35

Spread vs growth

-115.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

42.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.05

Spread vs growth

-88.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.53

Spread vs growth

-70.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.9%

Total return

+17.9%

Start / end P/E

25.2x → 54.7x

EPS bridge

1.27 → 0.69

Residual

-53.5%

EPS growth-45.7%
Multiple rerating+117.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-53.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.