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v0.1
9564.T$438.00-4.16%
Fair $438.00+0.0%

9564.T

FCE Inc.

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$438.00

-19.00 (-4.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $438.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $458.0M · quality 74.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 68/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9564.TLocal privado en este navegador · FCE Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.7B

P/E

13.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

17.4%

↑

Gross Margin

66.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$438
$432$957

TradingView lightweight chart

9564.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $438.00Periodo +50.0%
Fair value: $438.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.6%

FCF CAGR

+95.6%

FCF margin

15.2%

FCF / Net income

1.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.10B · net income $662.7M · FCF $929.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.9%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

15.0%+2.9% pts

Net margin

10.9%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

15.2%+11.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.10B$6.10B$5.01B$4.17B$3.75B
Net Income$662.7M$662.7M$502.4M$319.0M$299.2M
EBITDA$1.01B$1.01B$777.0M$548.1M$502.2M
EPS28.2328.2324.1015.8218.11
Gross Margin66.9%66.9%69.0%68.9%67.8%
Operating Margin15.0%15.0%14.4%13.9%12.1%
Net Margin10.9%10.9%10.0%7.6%8.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.090.200.45
Current Ratio3.043.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$929.9M$929.9M$434.6M$458.0M$124.2M
Returns
ROE17.4%17.4%14.9%18.7%37.3%
Valuation
P/E13.8313.8318.2619.44—
EV/EBITDA7.317.318.857.82—
P/B2.712.712.723.64—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.8%21.8%19.9%11.2%—
EPS Growth17.1%17.1%52.3%-12.6%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$38.87

Spread vs growth

5.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$47.03

Spread vs growth

6.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$75.74

Spread vs growth

6.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.7%

Total return

-20.7%

Start / end P/E

23.6x → 15.5x

EPS bridge

24.10 → 28.23

Residual

-5.9%

EPS growth+17.1%
Multiple rerating-34.2%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.