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9567.SR$20.19+0.60%
Fair $20.19+0.0%

9567.SR

Ghida Al-Sultan Company

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsSaudi

$20.19

+0.12 (+0.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.19Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.3M · quality 71.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9567.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Ghida Al-Sultan Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$65M

P/E

32.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

36.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.98

↑
52-Week Range$20
$19$44

TradingView lightweight chart

9567.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.07Periodo -74.3%
Fair value: $20.19

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.7%

FCF CAGR

+1.7%

FCF margin

8.0%

FCF / Net income

8.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $209.1M · net income $2.0M · FCF $16.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.2%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

2.2%-13.7% pts

Net margin

1.0%-12.4% pts

FCF margin

8.0%-2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$209.1M$209.1M$180.6M$166.3M$146.1M
Net Income$2.0M$2.0M$3.6M$8.0M$19.5M
EBITDA$20.6M$20.6M$19.6M$22.9M$30.2M
EPS——1.122.506.08
Gross Margin36.2%36.2%34.6%38.2%41.0%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%3.7%5.1%15.9%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%2.0%4.8%13.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.980.980.770.570.41
Current Ratio1.431.43———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.6M$16.6M$9.2M$13.3M$15.8M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%5.8%13.8%37.6%
Valuation
P/E32.0532.0543.3025.96—
EV/EBITDA5.465.469.8710.08—
P/B1.021.022.503.59—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.7%15.7%8.6%13.8%—
EPS Growth——-55.2%-58.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -54.2%

Total return

-54.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.12 → n/d

Residual

-54.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-54.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.