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9609.SR$32.90+0.00%
Fair $32.90+0.0%

9609.SR

Nass Petrol Factory Company

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PSaudi

$32.90

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.90Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.6M · quality 72.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

12/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 3Warnings: 2unknown: 3
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9609.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Nass Petrol Factory Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$99M

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

31.8x

↑

ROE

3.4%

↓

Gross Margin

15.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$33
$27$61

TradingView lightweight chart

9609.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.90Periodo -8.6%
Fair value: $32.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2025 · 2 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.6%

FCF CAGR

+44.3%

FCF margin

14.4%

FCF / Net income

5.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $74.6M · net income $2.0M · FCF $10.7M

2023-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.2%-6.5% pts

Operating margin

4.2%-6.9% pts

Net margin

2.7%-6.8% pts

FCF margin

14.4%+8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$74.6M$74.6M$76.9M$91.4M
Net Income$2.0M$2.0M$6.9M$8.7M
EBITDA$3.2M$3.2M$8.3M$12.5M
EPS——2.302.90
Gross Margin15.2%15.2%23.3%21.8%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%10.2%11.1%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%9.0%9.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.110.12
Current Ratio3.213.21——
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.7M$10.7M$5.6M$5.1M
Returns
ROE3.4%3.4%11.9%17.0%
Valuation
P/E12.2812.2828.70—
EV/EBITDA31.8131.8124.35—
P/B1.641.643.41—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%-15.8%—
EPS Growth——-20.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.5%

Total return

-31.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.30 → n/d

Residual

-31.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.