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9612.T$1246.00-3.63%
Fair $1246.00+0.0%

9612.T

LuckLand Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$1246.00

-47.00 (-3.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1246.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $585.0M · quality 48.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9612.TLocal privado en este navegador · LuckLand Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.2B

P/E

6.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.3x

↓

ROE

15.9%

↑

Gross Margin

17.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$1246
$960$1966

TradingView lightweight chart

9612.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,246Periodo +10.2%
Fair value: $1,246

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

2.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $56.57B · net income $2.08B · FCF $4.22B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.2%+4.5% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+7.9% pts

Net margin

3.7%+4.1% pts

FCF margin

7.5%+11.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$56.57B$56.57B$47.66B$45.12B$41.03B
Net Income$2.08B$2.08B$-479.0M$252.0M$-168.6M
EBITDA$3.90B$3.90B$275.0M$1.19B$611.5M
EPS——-46.6123.97-16.63
Gross Margin17.2%17.2%12.5%12.4%12.7%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%0.5%1.0%-0.8%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%-1.0%0.6%-0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.530.600.71
Current Ratio1.701.70———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.22B$4.22B$585.0M$-555.0M$-1.65B
Returns
ROE15.9%15.9%-5.2%2.5%-1.7%
Valuation
P/E6.176.17—100.25—
EV/EBITDA1.271.2758.4920.6847.51
P/B1.091.091.972.522.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.7%18.7%5.6%10.0%—
EPS Growth——-294.5%244.1%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.0%

Total return

+5.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-46.61 → n/d

Residual

+1.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.