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9616.HK$2.24+0.45%
Fair $2.24+0.0%

9616.HK

Neutech Group Limited

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesHKSE

$2.24

+0.01 (+0.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.24Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $190.6M · quality 58.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9616.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Neutech Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

3.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.7x

↓

ROE

16.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.33

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

9616.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.240Periodo -64.0%
Fair value: $2.240

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.6%

FCF CAGR

+5.4%

FCF margin

14.0%

FCF / Net income

0.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.04B · net income $404.8M · FCF $286.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.3%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

30.2%-2.4% pts

Net margin

19.9%-5.0% pts

FCF margin

14.0%-1.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.04B$2.04B$2.07B$1.81B$1.55B
Net Income$404.8M$404.8M$465.6M$429.5M$385.4M
EBITDA$916.6M$916.6M$964.5M$870.3M$788.9M
EPS——0.720.660.58
Gross Margin44.3%44.3%48.1%47.9%43.1%
Operating Margin30.2%30.2%32.5%31.8%32.5%
Net Margin19.9%19.9%22.5%23.8%24.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.331.331.361.341.41
Current Ratio0.910.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$286.4M$286.4M$179.1M$190.6M$244.7M
Returns
ROE16.3%16.3%20.2%20.9%22.3%
Valuation
P/E3.073.073.394.056.02
EV/EBITDA3.713.713.163.194.53
P/B0.580.580.680.841.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.5%-1.5%14.6%16.6%—
EPS Growth——9.1%13.8%—
Dividend Yield12.5%12.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.1%

Total return

-25.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.72 → n/d

Residual

-37.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+12.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-37.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.