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9621.T$2613.00-3.04%
Fair $2613.00+0.0%

9621.T

CTI Engineering Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionTokyo

$2613.00

-82.00 (-3.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2613.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.5B · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9621.TLocal privado en este navegador · CTI Engineering Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$71.3B

P/E

12.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

29.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$2613
$2486$3575

TradingView lightweight chart

9621.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,613Periodo +833.2%
Fair value: $2,613

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.6%

FCF CAGR

+12.4%

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

0.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $101.04B · net income $5.95B · FCF $4.47B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.3%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

9.0%-0.6% pts

Net margin

5.9%-1.1% pts

FCF margin

4.4%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$101.04B$101.04B$97.68B$93.06B$83.48B
Net Income$5.95B$5.95B$6.75B$7.53B$5.87B
EBITDA$11.47B$11.47B$11.51B$11.90B$9.82B
EPS214.45214.45—271.06207.75
Gross Margin29.3%29.3%29.1%29.1%28.1%
Operating Margin9.0%9.0%9.6%10.8%9.6%
Net Margin5.9%5.9%6.9%8.1%7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.070.050.06
Current Ratio2.292.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.47B$4.47B$1.46B$-96.0M$3.14B
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%11.0%13.7%12.4%
Valuation
P/E12.5612.56—9.597.29
EV/EBITDA5.405.404.934.662.36
P/B1.091.091.111.320.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%5.0%11.5%—
EPS Growth———30.5%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$231.86

Spread vs growth

0.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$280.55

Spread vs growth

-2.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$451.83

Spread vs growth

-4.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.8%

Total return

+6.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 214.45

Residual

+3.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.