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9625.T$1076.00-0.37%
Fair $1076.00+0.0%

9625.T

Cerespo Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$1076.00

-4.00 (-0.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1076.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $497.2M · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -8.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9625.TLocal privado en este navegador · Cerespo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.9B

P/E

7.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-8.4%

↓

Gross Margin

33.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1076
$990$1161

TradingView lightweight chart

9625.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,076Periodo +175.9%
Fair value: $1,076

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-20.3%

FCF CAGR

-60.0%

FCF margin

3.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.67B · net income $-765.0M · FCF $497.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.2%-5.7% pts

Operating margin

5.9%-18.8% pts

Net margin

-5.6%-22.8% pts

FCF margin

3.6%-25.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.67B$13.67B$8.96B$19.93B$27.01B
Net Income$-765.0M$-765.0M$-269.4M$2.07B$4.64B
EBITDA$-433.0M$-433.0M$-312.3M$3.19B$6.81B
EPS-140.02-140.02-48.27371.51834.06
Gross Margin33.2%33.2%33.4%34.5%38.9%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%-4.3%15.2%24.6%
Net Margin-5.6%-5.6%-3.0%10.4%17.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.060.050.07
Current Ratio3.313.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$497.2M$497.2M$-1.12B$961.8M$7.76B
Returns
ROE-8.4%-8.4%-2.7%19.2%50.0%
Valuation
P/E7.727.72—2.451.57
EV/EBITDA———-0.760.03
P/B0.640.640.510.470.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth52.6%52.6%-55.0%-26.2%—
EPS Growth-190.1%-190.1%-113.0%-55.5%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.4%

Total return

+8.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-48.27 → -140.02

Residual

+3.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.