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9629.T$1302.00+3.43%
Fair $1302.00+0.0%

9629.T

PCA Corporation

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1302.00

+42.00 (+3.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1302.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.6B · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9629.TLocal privado en este navegador · PCA Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.1B

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.5x

↓

ROE

9.1%

↑

Gross Margin

63.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1302
$1164$2084

TradingView lightweight chart

9629.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,268Periodo +171.7%
Fair value: $1,302

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.7%

FCF CAGR

-8.8%

FCF margin

15.7%

FCF / Net income

1.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.24B · net income $1.74B · FCF $2.56B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

63.0%-2.8% pts

Operating margin

16.3%-3.6% pts

Net margin

10.7%-7.0% pts

FCF margin

15.7%-9.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.24B$16.24B$15.02B$12.98B$13.38B
Net Income$1.74B$1.74B$1.61B$883.1M$2.37B
EBITDA$2.89B$2.89B$2.53B$1.46B$2.82B
EPS86.4686.4680.0843.92117.98
Gross Margin63.0%63.0%64.2%62.0%65.8%
Operating Margin16.3%16.3%15.4%9.9%19.8%
Net Margin10.7%10.7%10.7%6.8%17.7%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.791.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.56B$2.56B$3.23B$2.53B$3.37B
Returns
ROE9.1%9.1%8.6%5.0%13.9%
Valuation
P/E11.1411.1421.4427.5012.41
EV/EBITDA1.521.525.374.444.71
P/B1.371.371.841.381.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%15.7%-3.0%—
EPS Growth8.0%8.0%82.3%-62.8%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$115.53

Spread vs growth

-2.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$139.79

Spread vs growth

-2.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$225.14

Spread vs growth

-2.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.0%

Total return

-25.0%

Start / end P/E

22.0x → 14.7x

EPS bridge

80.08 → 86.46

Residual

-2.7%

EPS growth+8.0%
Multiple rerating-33.5%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.