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9633.SR$25.60+6.62%
Fair $25.60+0.0%

9633.SR

9633.SR

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachinerySaudi

$25.60

+1.59 (+6.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $25.60Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.6M · quality 68.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 0unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9633.SRLocal privado en este navegador · 9633.SR
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$61M

P/E

10.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

13.6%

↑

Gross Margin

44.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$26
$23$67

TradingView lightweight chart

9633.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $25.60Periodo -66.1%
Fair value: $25.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2024–2025 · 1 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.0%

FCF CAGR

-20.8%

FCF margin

13.2%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $50.5M · net income $6.0M · FCF $6.7M

2024-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.5%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

12.5%-16.2% pts

Net margin

11.9%-16.4% pts

FCF margin

13.2%-1.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
Income Statement
Revenue$50.5M$50.5M$57.4M
Net Income$6.0M$6.0M$16.2M
EBITDA$8.3M$8.3M$18.4M
EPS——6.77
Gross Margin44.5%44.5%48.8%
Operating Margin12.5%12.5%28.7%
Net Margin11.9%11.9%28.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.05
Current Ratio5.595.59—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.7M$6.7M$8.4M
Returns
ROE13.6%13.6%38.8%
Valuation
P/E10.2410.24—
EV/EBITDA6.116.11—
P/B1.391.39—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.0%-12.0%—
Dividend Yield12.5%12.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -46.0%

Total return

-46.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

6.77 → n/d

Residual

-58.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+12.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-58.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.