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9639.HK$0.99+12.50%
Fair $0.99+0.0%

9639.HK

Wing Lee Development Construction Holdings Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.99

+0.11 (+12.50%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.99Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $16.4M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 9639.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Wing Lee Development Construction Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$990M

P/E

24.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↓

ROE

15.8%

↑

Gross Margin

20.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

9639.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.990Periodo +59.7%
Fair value: $0.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $716.6M · net income $55.5M · FCF $-60.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.2%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

9.7%-4.6% pts

Net margin

7.7%-3.6% pts

FCF margin

-8.4%-8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$716.6M$716.6M$526.1M$361.2M$520.4M
Net Income$55.5M$55.5M$76.9M$40.6M$59.1M
EBITDA$90.4M$90.4M$109.1M$64.0M$83.9M
EPS0.060.060.080.040.06
Gross Margin20.2%20.2%23.1%20.9%18.0%
Operating Margin9.7%9.7%18.1%16.1%14.3%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%14.6%11.2%11.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.340.450.65
Current Ratio2.152.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-60.1M$-60.1M$50.8M$16.4M$1.8M
Returns
ROE15.8%15.8%49.5%34.1%75.8%
Valuation
P/E24.7524.75———
EV/EBITDA9.279.27———
P/B2.452.45———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth36.2%36.2%45.7%-30.6%—
EPS Growth-16.8%-16.8%89.6%-31.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

-27.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

-27.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.17

Spread vs growth

-27.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.8%

Total return

-4.8%

Start / end P/E

13.5x → 15.5x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.06

Residual

-2.4%

EPS growth-16.8%
Multiple rerating+14.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.