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9644.T$706.00-1.26%
Fair $706.00+0.0%

9644.T

Tanabe Consulting Group Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Consulting ServicesTokyo

$706.00

-9.00 (-1.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $706.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $798.3M · quality 77.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9644.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tanabe Consulting Group Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$22.7B

P/E

20.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.8x

↓

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

45.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$706
$645$804

TradingView lightweight chart

9644.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $706.00Periodo +782.5%
Fair value: $706.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.2%

FCF CAGR

+31.8%

FCF margin

9.3%

FCF / Net income

1.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.54B · net income $1.02B · FCF $1.36B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.5%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

10.3%+1.6% pts

Net margin

7.0%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

9.3%+3.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.54B$14.54B$12.74B$11.76B$10.57B
Net Income$1.02B$1.02B$641.0M$724.5M$604.3M
EBITDA$1.81B$1.81B$1.22B$1.32B$1.08B
EPS30.7630.7619.0521.1317.53
Gross Margin45.5%45.5%42.9%44.2%45.3%
Operating Margin10.3%10.3%7.9%9.8%8.8%
Net Margin7.0%7.0%5.0%6.2%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.020.01
Current Ratio4.584.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.36B$1.36B$471.4M$798.3M$593.9M
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%5.9%6.4%5.4%
Valuation
P/E20.8320.8326.1420.2418.94
EV/EBITDA8.788.789.346.193.90
P/B2.192.191.541.291.02
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.2%14.2%8.3%11.2%—
EPS Growth61.5%61.5%-9.8%20.5%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

26.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$62.65

Spread vs growth

34.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$75.80

Spread vs growth

41.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$122.08

Spread vs growth

46.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.1%

Total return

+4.1%

Start / end P/E

37.2x → 23.0x

EPS bridge

19.05 → 30.76

Residual

-23.6%

EPS growth+61.5%
Multiple rerating-38.3%
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.