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9650.SR$6.77+9.90%
Fair $6.77+0.0%

9650.SR

9650.SR

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsSaudi

$6.77

+0.61 (+9.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.77Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $16.7M · quality 64.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 57/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 0unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9650.SRLocal privado en este navegador · 9650.SR
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$267M

P/E

12.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.3x

↓

ROE

18.6%

↑

Gross Margin

45.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.36

↑
52-Week Range$7
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

9650.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.770Periodo -3.3%
Fair value: $6.770

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2024–2025 · 1 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.1%

FCF CAGR

+2.1%

FCF margin

8.5%

FCF / Net income

0.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $197.6M · net income $20.1M · FCF $16.8M

2024-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.2%+5.9% pts

Operating margin

10.5%-3.3% pts

Net margin

10.2%-1.9% pts

FCF margin

8.5%-1.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
Income Statement
Revenue$197.6M$197.6M$166.0M
Net Income$20.1M$20.1M$20.1M
EBITDA$34.8M$34.8M$31.2M
EPS——0.51
Gross Margin45.2%45.2%39.3%
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%13.8%
Net Margin10.2%10.2%12.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.43
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$16.8M$16.8M$16.5M
Returns
ROE18.6%18.6%31.1%
Valuation
P/E12.0912.09—
EV/EBITDA8.358.35—
P/B2.472.47—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.1%19.1%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total +1.6%

Total return

+1.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.51 → n/d

Residual

-3.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.