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9656.T$596.00-0.33%
Fair $596.00+0.0%

9656.T

Greenland Resort Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Resorts & CasinosTokyo

$596.00

-2.00 (-0.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $596.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $233.9M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9656.TLocal privado en este navegador · Greenland Resort Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.2B

P/E

12.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↑

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.61

↑
52-Week Range$596
$596$655

TradingView lightweight chart

9656.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $596.00Periodo +12.5%
Fair value: $596.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.45B · net income $487.1M · FCF $-443.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%-1.8% pts

Operating margin

11.4%-1.9% pts

Net margin

7.5%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

-6.9%-23.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.45B$6.45B$6.41B$6.41B$5.73B
Net Income$487.1M$487.1M$534.2M$463.7M$428.4M
EBITDA$1.10B$1.10B$1.12B$1.10B$1.02B
EPS47.1247.12—44.8641.44
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%22.7%24.0%23.9%
Operating Margin11.4%11.4%12.1%13.9%13.3%
Net Margin7.5%7.5%8.3%7.2%7.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.610.610.540.570.66
Current Ratio0.210.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-443.6M$-443.6M$233.9M$469.3M$961.8M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%5.2%4.7%4.6%
Valuation
P/E12.6512.65—15.7812.69
EV/EBITDA11.0511.0510.2211.3510.73
P/B0.580.580.620.750.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.6%0.6%0.1%11.8%—
EPS Growth———8.3%—
Dividend Yield2.5%2.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$52.89

Spread vs growth

-3.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$63.99

Spread vs growth

-5.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$103.06

Spread vs growth

-7.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.1%

Total return

-2.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 47.12

Residual

-4.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.