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9658.T$1031.00+0.49%
Fair $1031.00+0.0%

9658.T

Business Brain Showa-Ota Inc.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$1031.00

+5.00 (+0.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1031.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.7B · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 9658.TLocal privado en este navegador · Business Brain Showa-Ota Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$33.5B

P/E

11.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.0x

↓

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$1031
$829$1218

TradingView lightweight chart

9658.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,031Periodo +719.3%
Fair value: $1,031

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $38.80B · net income $2.47B · FCF $2.54B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

7.4%-1.1% pts

Net margin

6.4%+0.9% pts

FCF margin

6.5%+6.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$38.80B$38.80B$34.22B$37.06B$32.35B
Net Income$2.47B$2.47B$14.14B$1.84B$1.78B
EBITDA$4.77B$4.77B$21.65B$4.40B$3.85B
EPS71.4871.48407.9851.5649.18
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%23.0%24.4%24.8%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%7.4%8.7%8.5%
Net Margin6.4%6.4%41.3%5.0%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.100.230.31
Current Ratio2.342.34———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.54B$2.54B$2.74B$3.09B$-121.1M
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%48.8%12.3%13.5%
Valuation
P/E11.2011.201.6613.499.63
EV/EBITDA5.965.960.764.063.21
P/B1.221.220.811.651.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.4%13.4%-7.7%14.6%—
EPS Growth-82.5%-82.5%691.2%4.8%—
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$91.48

Spread vs growth

-91.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$110.70

Spread vs growth

-91.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$178.28

Spread vs growth

-92.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.7%

Total return

+22.7%

Start / end P/E

2.1x → 14.4x

EPS bridge

407.98 → 71.48

Residual

-473.5%

EPS growth-82.5%
Multiple rerating+574.0%
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-473.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.