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9661.T$4450.00+0.00%
Fair $4450.00+0.0%

9661.T

Kabuki-Za Co., Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesTokyo

$4450.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4450.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 10.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 9661.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kabuki-Za Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$53.9B

P/E

188.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

63.2x

↑

ROE

2.5%

↓

Gross Margin

25.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$4450
$4430$4795

TradingView lightweight chart

9661.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,450Periodo +17.1%
Fair value: $4,450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.4%

FCF CAGR

+68.1%

FCF margin

16.8%

FCF / Net income

2.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.63B · net income $284.5M · FCF $611.5M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

25.3%+5.0% pts

Operating margin

10.4%+11.4% pts

Net margin

7.8%+10.7% pts

FCF margin

16.8%+12.1% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$3.63B$3.63B$3.11B$3.05B$2.70B
Net Income$284.5M$284.5M$274.6M$256.0M$-78.4M
EBITDA$813.1M$813.1M$652.6M$643.2M$430.1M
EPS———21.12-6.47
Gross Margin25.3%25.3%24.0%25.2%20.2%
Operating Margin10.4%10.4%7.0%6.7%-0.9%
Net Margin7.8%7.8%8.8%8.4%-2.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.742.74———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$611.5M$611.5M$175.8M$295.2M$128.7M
Returns
ROE2.5%2.5%2.4%2.4%-0.7%
Valuation
P/E188.64188.64—222.30—
EV/EBITDA63.1763.1781.1085.48130.07
P/B4.744.744.875.405.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.9%16.9%1.8%13.0%—
EPS Growth———426.4%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.5%

Total return

-2.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

-2.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.